Media · Marketing

Subscription renewal behavior

Spotting users who stop logging in before their plan expires.

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Subscribers, by viewing in the last 14 days · % of each cohort still active

CohortM0M1M2M3M4M5
10+ hours1009795949392
2–10 hours1009286827977
Under 2 hours1007152423633

Finding

Under 2 hours of viewing in 14 days means a 67% churn probability; the signal shows 45 days before renewal.

Who it's for

Marketing teams predicting and preventing subscription churn.

What it solves

Identify at-risk subscribers early enough to intervene and save the account.

Questions it answers

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  • Risk indicators?

    Users with <2 hours viewing in last 14 days have 67% churn probability.

  • Prediction window?

    Churn signals appear 45 days before renewal date with 78% accuracy.

  • What saves them?

    Personalized 'we miss you' email with content recommendations recovers 23% of at-risk.

  • Which users are at risk of not renewing?
  • What engagement patterns predict churn?
  • How far in advance can we predict non-renewal?
  • What interventions improve renewal rates?

The impact

  • Reduce churn by 30%
  • Save $1.8M in annual subscription revenue
  • Improve customer lifetime value

The data it needs

  • Subscription renewal dates
  • Login activity
  • Content engagement events
  • Historical churn data

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Subscription renewal behavior: frequently asked questions

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